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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Werder Bremen vs Paderborn

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.97 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst53%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst24%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst53% selection probability
Projected score2–1Werder BremenPaderborn
Expected goals2.97Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven57% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
53% / 23% / 24%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)Dubbele Kans1277.2%1.30
Boven 57% · Onder 43%Goals 2.5Boven57%1.75
Ja 59% · Nee 41%Beide teams scorenJa59%1.69
2.97 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Werder Bremen win53%1.891.6554.5%
Gelijkspel23%4.354.0022.5%
Paderborn win24%4.173.9023%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Werder Bremen1.75

Thuis share of expected goals 58.9%

Total expected goals2.97Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 57% · Onder 43%

Paderborn1.22

Uit share of expected goals 41.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nee 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Werder Bremen

1.33pts / match
Gespeeld3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Punten4

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/3

Uit-context · form sequence

Paderborn

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.75
Expected goals
1.22
Werder BremenPaderborn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Werder Bremen signalThuis clean sheets: 2/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paderborn signalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Werder Bremen vs Paderborn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Werder Bremen gewonnen 53%,Gelijkspel 23%,Paderborn gewonnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.97 · Boven 2.5 57% · Current selection Boven