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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Lens vs Sunderland

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.92 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst37%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst37%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst37% selection probability
Projected score1–1LensSunderland
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven56% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
37% / 26% / 37%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Dubbele Kans1274.1%1.35
Boven 56% · Onder 44%Goals 2.5Boven56%1.79
Ja 60% · Nee 40%Beide teams scorenJa60%1.67
2.92 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lens win37%2.702.4037%
Gelijkspel26%3.853.4026.1%
Sunderland win37%2.702.4037%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lens1.48

Thuis share of expected goals 50.7%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 56% · Onder 44%

Sunderland1.44

Uit share of expected goals 49.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nee 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Lens

2.33pts / match
Gespeeld3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Punten7

SignalThuis unbeaten 3/3

Uit-context · form sequence

Sunderland

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
37%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.48
Expected goals
1.44
LensSunderland
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lens signalThuis unbeaten 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sunderland signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Lens vs Sunderland FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lens gewonnen 37%,Gelijkspel 26%,Sunderland gewonnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Boven 2.5 56% · Current selection Boven