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EUR Europe Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Leganes vs Tenerife

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.23 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst40%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst32%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 40% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst40% selection probability
Projected score2–2LeganesTenerife
Expected goals3.23Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven62% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners7.7Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
40% / 27% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Dubbele Kans1272.5%1.38
Boven 62% · Onder 38%Goals 2.5Boven62%1.61
Ja 66% · Nee 34%Beide teams scorenJa66%1.52
3.23 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
7.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Leganes win40%2.502.2539.9%
Gelijkspel27%3.703.2028%
Tenerife win32%3.132.8032.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Leganes1.73

Thuis share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals3.23Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 62% · Onder 38%

Tenerife1.50

Uit share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 66% · Nee 34%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Leganes

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Tenerife

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.73
Expected goals
1.50
LeganesTenerife
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Leganes signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tenerife signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Leganes vs Tenerife FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Leganes gewonnen 40%,Gelijkspel 27%,Tenerife gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Boven 2.5 62% · Current selection Boven