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EST Estland - Esiliiga · Final ·

JK Nomme United II vs JK Nomme Kalju II

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score2–0Voorspelling 2–2
Uit form
Thuiswinst55%
Gelijkspel20%
Uitwinst26%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst55% selection probability
Projected score2–2JK Nomme United IIJK Nomme Kalju II
Expected goals4.14Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven78% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa76% for the selected side
Expected corners10.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
55% / 20% / 26%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19.8%)Dubbele Kans1280.2%1.25
Boven 78% · Onder 22%Goals 2.5Boven78%1.28
Ja 76% · Nee 24%Beide teams scorenJa76%1.32
4.14 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
10.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapJK Nomme Kalju II winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Nomme United II win55%1.821.6254.9%+0.1 pp
Gelijkspel20%5.004.5019.7%+0.3 pp
JK Nomme Kalju II win26%3.853.5025.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Nomme United II2.34

Thuis share of expected goals 56.5%

Total expected goals4.14Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 78% · Onder 22%

JK Nomme Kalju II1.80

Uit share of expected goals 43.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 76% · Nee 24%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

JK Nomme United II

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

JK Nomme Kalju II

0.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
26%
4
Points from supplied form
1
2.34
Expected goals
1.80
JK Nomme United IIJK Nomme Kalju II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Nomme United II signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JK Nomme Kalju II signalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

JK Nomme United II vs JK Nomme Kalju II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Nomme United II gewonnen 55%,Gelijkspel 20%,JK Nomme Kalju II gewonnen 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.14 · Boven 2.5 78% · Current selection Boven