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EUR Europe Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

US Pergolettese vs Inter Milan U23

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.26 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst46%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst32%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst46% selection probability
Projected score2–1US PergoletteseInter Milan U23
Expected goals3.26Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
46% / 23% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.9%)Dubbele Kans1277.1%1.30
Boven 63% · Onder 37%Goals 2.5Boven63%1.59
Ja 64% · Nee 36%Beide teams scorenJa64%1.56
3.26 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
US Pergolettese win46%2.17
Gelijkspel23%4.35
Inter Milan U23 win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

US Pergolettese1.80

Thuis share of expected goals 55.2%

Total expected goals3.26Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 63% · Onder 37%

Inter Milan U231.46

Uit share of expected goals 44.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nee 36%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

US Pergolettese

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins2Drawn0Losses0Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 2/2

Uit-context · form sequence

Inter Milan U23

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld3Wins2Drawn0Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.80
Expected goals
1.46
US PergoletteseInter Milan U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01US Pergolettese signalThuis unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Inter Milan U23 signalThuis clean sheets: 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

US Pergolettese vs Inter Milan U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

US Pergolettese gewonnen 46%,Gelijkspel 23%,Inter Milan U23 gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.26 · Boven 2.5 63% · Current selection Boven