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INT UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying · Final ·

PSV (D) vs HJK (D)

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score3–1Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst65%
Gelijkspel18%
Uitwinst17%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 65% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst65% selection probability
Projected score2–1PSV (D)HJK (D)
Expected goals3.23Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
65% / 18% / 17%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HJK (D) win (17.4%)Dubbele Kans1X82.6%1.21
Boven 63% · Onder 37%Goals 2.5Boven63%1.59
Ja 60% · Nee 40%Beide teams scorenJa60%1.67
3.23 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
PSV (D) win65%1.541.3666.4%
Gelijkspel18%5.565.2517.2%
HJK (D) win17%5.885.5016.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

PSV (D)2.11

Thuis share of expected goals 65.3%

Total expected goals3.23Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 63% · Onder 37%

HJK (D)1.12

Uit share of expected goals 34.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nee 40%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

PSV (D)

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

HJK (D)

1.50pts / match
Gespeeld4Wins2Drawn0Losses2Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
17%
9
Points from supplied form
6
2.11
Expected goals
1.12
PSV (D)HJK (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01PSV (D) signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HJK (D) signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

PSV (D) vs HJK (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

PSV (D) gewonnen 65%,Gelijkspel 18%,HJK (D) gewonnen 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Boven 2.5 63% · Current selection Boven