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FIN Finland - Ykkönen - Dames · Final ·

HJK (D) vs PK Keski-Uusimaa (D)

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–5Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst50%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst27%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 50% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst50% selection probability
Projected score2–1HJK (D)PK Keski-Uusimaa (D)
Expected goals3.11Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
50% / 23% / 27%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23%)Dubbele Kans1277%1.30
Boven 60% · Onder 40%Goals 2.5Boven60%1.67
Ja 61% · Nee 39%Beide teams scorenJa61%1.64
3.11 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
HJK (D) win50%2.00
Gelijkspel23%4.35
PK Keski-Uusimaa (D) win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HJK (D)1.82

Thuis share of expected goals 58.5%

Total expected goals3.11Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 60% · Onder 40%

PK Keski-Uusimaa (D)1.29

Uit share of expected goals 41.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nee 39%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

HJK (D)

0.75pts / match
Gespeeld4Wins1Drawn0Losses3Punten3

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

PK Keski-Uusimaa (D)

0.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punten2

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
27%
3
Points from supplied form
2
1.82
Expected goals
1.29
HJK (D)PK Keski-Uusimaa (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HJK (D) signalUit matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02PK Keski-Uusimaa (D) signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

HJK (D) vs PK Keski-Uusimaa (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HJK (D) gewonnen 50%,Gelijkspel 23%,PK Keski-Uusimaa (D) gewonnen 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.11 · Boven 2.5 60% · Current selection Boven