Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
43% / 24% / 33%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24%)Dubbele Kans1276%1.32
Boven 58% · Onder 42%Goals 2.5Boven58%1.72
Ja 60% · Nee 40%Beide teams scorenJa60%1.67
3.01 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
10.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Merthyr Town win43%2.33
Gelijkspel24%4.17
Hednesford win33%3.03
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 54.2%
Total expected goals3.01Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 58% · Onder 42%
Uit share of expected goals 45.8%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nee 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchMerthyr Town
LLWLL
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5
Uit-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchHednesford
DWWWW
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13
SignalUit unbeaten 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
43%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
33%3
Points from supplied form
131.63
Expected goals
1.38Merthyr TownHednesford
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Merthyr Town vs Hednesford FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Merthyr Town gewonnen 43%，Gelijkspel 24%，Hednesford gewonnen 33%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.01 · Boven 2.5 58% · Current selection Boven。