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ISR Israël - Liga Leumit · Final ·

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Afula

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score0–1Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst36%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst36%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 36% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Maccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Afula
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven51% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
36% / 28% / 36%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Dubbele Kans1272%1.39
Boven 51% · Onder 49%Goals 2.5Boven51%1.96
Ja 56% · Nee 44%Beide teams scorenJa56%1.79
2.71 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth win36%2.782.5036.2%
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2028.3%
Hapoel Afula win36%2.782.5535.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth1.37

Thuis share of expected goals 50.6%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 51% · Onder 49%

Hapoel Afula1.34

Uit share of expected goals 49.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nee 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

1.50pts / match
Gespeeld4Wins2Drawn0Losses2Punten6

SignalUit unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Hapoel Afula

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalUit clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
36%
6
Points from supplied form
8
1.37
Expected goals
1.34
Maccabi Ahi NazarethHapoel Afula
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Maccabi Ahi Nazareth signalUit unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hapoel Afula signalUit clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Hapoel Afula FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth gewonnen 36%,Gelijkspel 28%,Hapoel Afula gewonnen 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Boven 2.5 51% · Current selection Boven