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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Hamburger SV vs Lille

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.95 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst29%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst49%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 49% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst49% selection probability
Projected score1–2Hamburger SVLille
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven57% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
29% / 23% / 49%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.9%)Dubbele Kans1277.1%1.30
Boven 57% · Onder 43%Goals 2.5Boven57%1.75
Ja 59% · Nee 41%Beide teams scorenJa59%1.69
2.95 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
8.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Hamburger SV win29%3.453.3027.3%
Gelijkspel23%4.354.0022.6%
Lille win49%2.041.8050.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hamburger SV1.32

Thuis share of expected goals 44.7%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 57% · Onder 43%

Lille1.63

Uit share of expected goals 55.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 59% · Nee 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Hamburger SV

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Lille

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Punten4

SignalUit unbeaten 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
49%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.32
Expected goals
1.63
Hamburger SVLille
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hamburger SV signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lille signalUit unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Hamburger SV vs Lille FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hamburger SV gewonnen 29%,Gelijkspel 23%,Lille gewonnen 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Boven 2.5 57% · Current selection Boven