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INT Argentinië - Liga Profesional - Reserves · Final ·

Gimnasia LP - Reserves vs Sarmiento - Reserves

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score0–2Voorspelling 1–0
Uit form
Thuiswinst42%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst29%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 42% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst42% selection probability
Projected score1–0Gimnasia LP - ReservesSarmiento - Reserves
Expected goals1.93Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder70% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
42% / 29% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sarmiento - Reserves win (29.1%)Dubbele Kans1X70.9%1.41
Boven 30% · Onder 70%Goals 2.5Onder70%1.43
Ja 29% · Nee 71%Beide teams scorenNee71%1.41
1.93 total expected goalsExacte score1–0
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapSarmiento - Reserves winDifference-2.2 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gimnasia LP - Reserves win42%2.382.2539.9%+2.1 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Sarmiento - Reserves win29%3.452.8831.2%-2.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gimnasia LP - Reserves1.47

Thuis share of expected goals 76.2%

Total expected goals1.93Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 30% · Onder 70%

Sarmiento - Reserves0.46

Uit share of expected goals 23.8%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitJa 29% · Nee 71%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Gimnasia LP - Reserves

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Sarmiento - Reserves

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.47
Expected goals
0.46
Gimnasia LP - ReservesSarmiento - Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gimnasia LP - Reserves signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarmiento - Reserves signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Gimnasia LP - Reserves vs Sarmiento - Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–0 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gimnasia LP - Reserves gewonnen 42%,Gelijkspel 29%,Sarmiento - Reserves gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.93 · Boven 2.5 30% · Current selection Onder