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DEU Duitsland - DFB Pokal · Final ·

Fortuna Dusseldorf vs SC Freiburg

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–5Voorspelling 1–2
Uit form
Thuiswinst12%
Gelijkspel19%
Uitwinst69%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 69% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst69% selection probability
Projected score1–2Fortuna DusseldorfSC Freiburg
Expected goals3.09Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
12% / 19% / 69%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fortuna Dusseldorf win (11.9%)Dubbele KansX288.1%1.14
Boven 60% · Onder 40%Goals 2.5Boven60%1.67
Ja 56% · Nee 44%Beide teams scorenJa56%1.79
3.09 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
9.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fortuna Dusseldorf win12%8.338.5011%
Gelijkspel19%5.265.0018.7%
SC Freiburg win69%1.451.3370.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fortuna Dusseldorf0.95

Thuis share of expected goals 30.7%

Total expected goals3.09Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 60% · Onder 40%

SC Freiburg2.14

Uit share of expected goals 69.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 56% · Nee 44%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Fortuna Dusseldorf

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

SC Freiburg

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
12%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
69%
9
Points from supplied form
7
0.95
Expected goals
2.14
Fortuna DusseldorfSC Freiburg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fortuna Dusseldorf signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SC Freiburg signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Fortuna Dusseldorf vs SC Freiburg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fortuna Dusseldorf gewonnen 12%,Gelijkspel 19%,SC Freiburg gewonnen 69%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Boven 2.5 60% · Current selection Boven