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AUT Oostenrijk - Regionalliga Ost · Wedstrijd ·

FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs SV Leobendorf

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.37 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst57%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst20%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst57% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC Marchfeld DonauauenSV Leobendorf
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder58% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
57% / 23% / 20%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SV Leobendorf win (20%)Dubbele Kans1X80%1.25
Boven 42% · Onder 58%Goals 2.5Onder58%1.72
Ja 45% · Nee 55%Beide teams scorenNee55%1.82
2.37 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapFC Marchfeld Donauauen winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Marchfeld Donauauen win57%1.751.5557.7%-0.7 pp
Gelijkspel23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
SV Leobendorf win20%5.004.5019.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Marchfeld Donauauen1.50

Thuis share of expected goals 63.3%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 42% · Onder 58%

SV Leobendorf0.87

Uit share of expected goals 36.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nee 55%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FC Marchfeld Donauauen

1.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

SV Leobendorf

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
57%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
20%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.50
Expected goals
0.87
FC Marchfeld DonauauenSV Leobendorf
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Marchfeld Donauauen signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SV Leobendorf signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs SV Leobendorf FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Marchfeld Donauauen gewonnen 57%,Gelijkspel 23%,SV Leobendorf gewonnen 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Boven 2.5 42% · Current selection Onder