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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Wedstrijd ·

Deportivo Armenio vs Villa Dalmine

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.87 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst35%
Gelijkspel33%
Uitwinst32%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo ArmenioVilla Dalmine
Expected goals1.87Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder71% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
35% / 33% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Villa Dalmine win (32.1%)Dubbele Kans1X67.9%1.47
Boven 29% · Onder 71%Goals 2.5Onder71%1.41
Ja 37% · Nee 63%Beide teams scorenNee63%1.59
1.87 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapVilla Dalmine winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Armenio win35%2.862.5535.3%-0.3 pp
Gelijkspel33%3.032.7033.4%-0.4 pp
Villa Dalmine win32%3.132.8831.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Armenio0.80

Thuis share of expected goals 42.8%

Total expected goals1.87Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 29% · Onder 71%

Villa Dalmine1.07

Uit share of expected goals 57.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 37% · Nee 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Deportivo Armenio

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Villa Dalmine

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
6
Points from supplied form
9
0.80
Expected goals
1.07
Deportivo ArmenioVilla Dalmine
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Armenio signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Villa Dalmine signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Deportivo Armenio vs Villa Dalmine FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Armenio gewonnen 35%,Gelijkspel 33%,Villa Dalmine gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.87 · Boven 2.5 29% · Current selection Onder