Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
57% / 27% / 16%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes US Pergolettese win (16.2%)Dubbele Kans1X83.8%1.19
Boven 41% · Onder 59%Goals 2.5Onder59%1.69
Ja 46% · Nee 54%Beide teams scorenNee54%1.85
2.32 total expected goalsExacte score1–1——
8.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapCittadella winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cittadella win57%1.751.5558%-1.0 pp
Gelijkspel27%3.703.4026.4%+0.6 pp
US Pergolettese win16%6.255.7515.6%+0.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 60.8%
Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Boven 41% · Onder 59%
Uit share of expected goals 39.2%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nee 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchCittadella
WLDWL
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7
SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchUS Pergolettese
DWWDD
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9
SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
57%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
16%7
Points from supplied form
91.41
Expected goals
0.91CittadellaUS Pergolettese
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Cittadella vs US Pergolettese FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 57% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Cittadella gewonnen 57%，Gelijkspel 27%，US Pergolettese gewonnen 16%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.32 · Boven 2.5 41% · Current selection Onder。