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COL Colombia - Regionale competitie · Wedstrijd ·

Belen Arco Zaragoza vs Molino Viejo

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.29 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst33%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst42%
Market-based forecastUitwinstTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst42% selection probability
Projected score2–2Belen Arco ZaragozaMolino Viejo
Expected goals3.29Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven64% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
33% / 25% / 42%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Dubbele Kans1274.7%1.34
Boven 64% · Onder 36%Goals 2.5Boven64%1.56
Ja 66% · Nee 34%Beide teams scorenJa66%1.52
3.29 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Belen Arco Zaragoza win33%3.032.8031.9%
Gelijkspel25%4.003.5025.5%
Molino Viejo win42%2.382.1042.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Belen Arco Zaragoza1.58

Thuis share of expected goals 48%

Total expected goals3.29Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 64% · Onder 36%

Molino Viejo1.71

Uit share of expected goals 52%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 66% · Nee 34%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Belen Arco Zaragoza

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Molino Viejo

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalUit unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
42%
5
Points from supplied form
13
1.58
Expected goals
1.71
Belen Arco ZaragozaMolino Viejo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Belen Arco Zaragoza signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Molino Viejo signalUit unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Belen Arco Zaragoza vs Molino Viejo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Belen Arco Zaragoza gewonnen 33%,Gelijkspel 25%,Molino Viejo gewonnen 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.29 · Boven 2.5 64% · Current selection Boven