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USA USA USL League One · Wedstrijd ·

AC Boise vs Forward Madison FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.18 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst51%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst23%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst51% selection probability
Projected score2–2AC BoiseForward Madison FC
Expected goals3.18Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven62% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
51% / 26% / 23%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Forward Madison FC win (23.3%)Dubbele Kans1X76.7%1.30
Boven 62% · Onder 38%Goals 2.5Boven62%1.61
Ja 64% · Nee 36%Beide teams scorenJa64%1.56
3.18 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
10.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapAC Boise winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AC Boise win51%1.961.7351.9%-0.9 pp
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Forward Madison FC win23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AC Boise1.64

Thuis share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals3.18Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 62% · Onder 38%

Forward Madison FC1.54

Uit share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 64% · Nee 36%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

AC Boise

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Forward Madison FC

3.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punten15

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
15
1.64
Expected goals
1.54
AC BoiseForward Madison FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AC Boise signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Forward Madison FC signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

AC Boise vs Forward Madison FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AC Boise gewonnen 51%,Gelijkspel 26%,Forward Madison FC gewonnen 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.18 · Boven 2.5 62% · Current selection Boven