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ITA Italië - Serie C - Groep A · Final ·

A.C. Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score2–0Voorspelling 1–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst31%
Gelijkspel32%
Uitwinst37%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst37% selection probability
Projected score1–1A.C. OspitalettoLumezzane
Expected goals2.07Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder66% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
31% / 32% / 37%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes A.C. Ospitaletto win (31.4%)Dubbele KansX268.6%1.46
Boven 34% · Onder 66%Goals 2.5Onder66%1.52
Ja 42% · Nee 58%Beide teams scorenNee58%1.72
2.07 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
A.C. Ospitaletto win31%3.23
Gelijkspel32%3.13
Lumezzane win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

A.C. Ospitaletto0.96

Thuis share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 34% · Onder 66%

Lumezzane1.11

Uit share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 42% · Nee 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

A.C. Ospitaletto

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Lumezzane

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
37%
7
Points from supplied form
11
0.96
Expected goals
1.11
A.C. OspitalettoLumezzane
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01A.C. Ospitaletto signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lumezzane signalThuis won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

A.C. Ospitaletto vs Lumezzane FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

A.C. Ospitaletto gewonnen 31%,Gelijkspel 32%,Lumezzane gewonnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.07 · Boven 2.5 34% · Current selection Onder