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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Kamp ·

Sfera FC U20 vs XV de Jau U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score4–14.98 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier60%
Uavgjort22%
Borteseier18%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier60% selection probability
Projected score4–1Sfera FC U20XV de Jau U20
Expected goals4.98Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over87% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
60% / 22% / 18%KampresultatHjemmeseier60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes XV de Jau U20 win (18%)Dobbel sjanse1X82%1.22
Over 87% · Under 13%Goals 2.5Over87%1.15
Ja 51% · Nei 49%Begge lag scorerJa51%1.96
4.98 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat4–1
9.9 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapSfera FC U20 winDifference+4.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sfera FC U20 win60%1.671.6255.4%+4.6 pp
Uavgjort22%4.553.7523.9%-1.9 pp
XV de Jau U20 win18%5.564.3320.7%-2.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sfera FC U204.26

Hjemme share of expected goals 85.5%

Total expected goals4.98Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 87% · Under 13%

XV de Jau U200.72

Borte share of expected goals 14.5%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nei 49%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Sfera FC U20

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

XV de Jau U20

1.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poeng5

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
18%
9
Points from supplied form
5
4.26
Expected goals
0.72
Sfera FC U20XV de Jau U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sfera FC U20 signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02XV de Jau U20 signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Sfera FC U20 vs XV de Jau U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 4–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sfera FC U20 vunnet 60%,Uavgjort 22%,XV de Jau U20 vunnet 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.98 · Over 2.5 87% · Current selection Over