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NOR Norge - 1. divisjon · Kamp ·

Stromsgodset vs Egersunds

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.77 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier64%
Uavgjort19%
Borteseier17%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier64% selection probability
Projected score2–1StromsgodsetEgersunds
Expected goals3.77Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over73% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners11.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
64% / 19% / 17%KampresultatHjemmeseier64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Egersunds win (17.2%)Dobbel sjanse1X82.8%1.21
Over 73% · Under 27%Goals 2.5Over73%1.37
Ja 68% · Nei 32%Begge lag scorerJa68%1.47
3.77 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
11.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapStromsgodset winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stromsgodset win64%1.561.4464.5%-0.5 pp
Uavgjort19%5.265.0018.6%+0.4 pp
Egersunds win17%5.885.5016.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stromsgodset2.40

Hjemme share of expected goals 63.7%

Total expected goals3.77Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 73% · Under 27%

Egersunds1.37

Borte share of expected goals 36.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 68% · Nei 32%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Stromsgodset

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poeng6

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Egersunds

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
17%
6
Points from supplied form
10
2.40
Expected goals
1.37
StromsgodsetEgersunds
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stromsgodset signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Egersunds signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Stromsgodset vs Egersunds FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stromsgodset vunnet 64%,Uavgjort 19%,Egersunds vunnet 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.77 · Over 2.5 73% · Current selection Over