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PRT Portugal Segunda Liga · Final ·

SC Farense vs Felgueiras 1932

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score1–1Prognose 1–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier43%
Uavgjort31%
Borteseier26%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 43% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier43% selection probability
Projected score1–1SC FarenseFelgueiras 1932
Expected goals1.67Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under76% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
43% / 31% / 26%KampresultatHjemmeseier43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Felgueiras 1932 win (26%)Dobbel sjanse1X74%1.35
Over 24% · Under 76%Goals 2.5Under76%1.32
Ja 33% · Nei 67%Begge lag scorerNei67%1.49
1.67 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapSC Farense winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SC Farense win43%2.332.0544.1%-1.1 pp
Uavgjort31%3.233.0030.1%+0.9 pp
Felgueiras 1932 win26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SC Farense0.91

Hjemme share of expected goals 54.5%

Total expected goals1.67Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 24% · Under 76%

Felgueiras 19320.76

Borte share of expected goals 45.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 33% · Nei 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

SC Farense

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Felgueiras 1932

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poeng6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
26%
10
Points from supplied form
6
0.91
Expected goals
0.76
SC FarenseFelgueiras 1932
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SC Farense signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Felgueiras 1932 signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

SC Farense vs Felgueiras 1932 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SC Farense vunnet 43%,Uavgjort 31%,Felgueiras 1932 vunnet 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.67 · Over 2.5 24% · Current selection Under