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BGR Bulgaria First League · Final ·

Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score1–0Prognose 1–2
Borte form
Hjemmeseier15%
Uavgjort24%
Borteseier61%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 61% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier61% selection probability
Projected score1–2Septemvri SofiaCSKA 1948 Sofia
Expected goals2.95Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over57% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
15% / 24% / 61%KampresultatBorteseier61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Septemvri Sofia win (15.1%)Dobbel sjanseX284.9%1.18
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Ja 46% · Nei 54%Begge lag scorerNei54%1.85
2.95 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
8.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapCSKA 1948 Sofia winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Septemvri Sofia win15%6.676.0015.6%-0.6 pp
Uavgjort24%4.173.8024.7%-0.7 pp
CSKA 1948 Sofia win61%1.641.5759.7%+1.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Septemvri Sofia0.70

Hjemme share of expected goals 23.7%

Total expected goals2.95Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%

CSKA 1948 Sofia2.25

Borte share of expected goals 76.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 46% · Nei 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Septemvri Sofia

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

CSKA 1948 Sofia

2.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poeng11

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
61%
4
Points from supplied form
11
0.70
Expected goals
2.25
Septemvri SofiaCSKA 1948 Sofia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Septemvri Sofia signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CSKA 1948 Sofia signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Septemvri Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–2 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Septemvri Sofia vunnet 15%,Uavgjort 24%,CSKA 1948 Sofia vunnet 61%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.95 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over