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ITA Italy Serie A · Final ·

Bologna vs Lazio

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score0–1Prognose 1–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier39%
Uavgjort31%
Borteseier29%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier39% selection probability
Projected score1–1BolognaLazio
Expected goals2.23Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
39% / 31% / 29%KampresultatHjemmeseier39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lazio win (29.3%)Dobbel sjanse1X70.7%1.41
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Ja 46% · Nei 54%Begge lag scorerNei54%1.85
2.23 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bologna win39%2.562.4039.4%-0.4 pp
Uavgjort31%3.233.0031.5%-0.5 pp
Lazio win29%3.453.2529.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bologna1.19

Hjemme share of expected goals 53.4%

Total expected goals2.23Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%

Lazio1.04

Borte share of expected goals 46.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nei 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Bologna

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Lazio

3.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Poeng15

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
29%
8
Points from supplied form
15
1.19
Expected goals
1.04
BolognaLazio
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bologna signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lazio signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Bologna vs Lazio FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bologna vunnet 39%,Uavgjort 31%,Lazio vunnet 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.23 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under