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SAU Saudi Arabia Division 1 · Fixture ·

Al-Anwar vs Al-Ula

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.19 expected goals
Away form
Home win16%
Draw21%
Away win62%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win62% selection probability
Projected score1–2Al-AnwarAl-Ula
Expected goals3.19Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
16% / 21% / 62%Match resultAway win62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al-Anwar win (16.4%)Double chanceX283.6%1.20
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
3.19 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al-Anwar win16%6.255.5016.3%-0.3 pp
Draw21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
Al-Ula win62%1.611.4462.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Anwar1.05

Home share of expected goals 32.9%

Total expected goals3.19Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Al-Ula2.14

Away share of expected goals 67.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Al-Anwar

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Al-Ula

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
16%
Win probability excluding draw
62%
4
Points from supplied form
9
1.05
Expected goals
2.14
Al-AnwarAl-Ula
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Anwar signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Ula signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Al-Anwar vs Al-Ula FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Anwar win 16%,Draw 21%,Al-Ula win 62%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.19 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over