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ARG Argentina Reserve League · Fixture ·

Centro Espanol Reserves vs JJ Urquiza Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.43 expected goals
Away form
Home win23%
Draw25%
Away win53%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win53% selection probability
Projected score1–2Centro Espanol ReservesJJ Urquiza Reserves
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo62% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
23% / 25% / 53%Match resultAway win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Centro Espanol Reserves win (22.6%)Double chanceX277.4%1.29
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 38% · No 62%Both teams scoreNo62%1.61
2.43 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
7.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapJJ Urquiza Reserves winDifference+1.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Centro Espanol Reserves win23%4.353.7523.9%-0.9 pp
Draw25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
JJ Urquiza Reserves win53%1.891.7551.2%+1.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Centro Espanol Reserves0.60

Home share of expected goals 24.7%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

JJ Urquiza Reserves1.83

Away share of expected goals 75.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 38% · No 62%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Centro Espanol Reserves

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

JJ Urquiza Reserves

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
23%
Win probability excluding draw
53%
4
Points from supplied form
5
0.60
Expected goals
1.83
Centro Espanol ReservesJJ Urquiza Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Centro Espanol Reserves signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02JJ Urquiza Reserves signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Centro Espanol Reserves vs JJ Urquiza Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Centro Espanol Reserves win 23%,Draw 25%,JJ Urquiza Reserves win 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under