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VEN Venezuela Cup · Fixture ·

Bolivar SC vs Monagas

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.63 expected goals
Away form
Home win32%
Draw27%
Away win42%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Bolivar SCMonagas
Expected goals2.63Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
32% / 27% / 42%Match resultAway win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Double chance1273.3%1.36
Over 49% · Under 51%Goals 2.5Under51%1.96
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.63 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin10.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bolivar SC win32%3.133.0030.2%
Draw27%3.703.4026.6%
Monagas win42%2.382.1043.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bolivar SC1.28

Home share of expected goals 48.7%

Total expected goals2.63Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 49% · Under 51%

Monagas1.35

Away share of expected goals 51.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Bolivar SC

0.50pts / match
Played2Wins0Drawn1Losses1Points1

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Monagas

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Win probability excluding draw
42%
1
Points from supplied form
8
1.28
Expected goals
1.35
Bolivar SCMonagas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bolivar SC signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Monagas signalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Bolivar SC vs Monagas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bolivar SC win 32%,Draw 27%,Monagas win 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.63 · Over 2.5 49% · Current selection Under