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DNK Denmark Cup · Fixture ·

Marienlyst vs VSK Aarhus

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.94 expected goals
Away form
Home win15%
Draw22%
Away win63%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 63% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win63% selection probability
Projected score1–2MarienlystVSK Aarhus
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
15% / 22% / 63%Match resultAway win63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Marienlyst win (14.8%)Double chanceX285.2%1.17
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
2.94 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Marienlyst win15%6.677.0013.4%
Draw22%4.554.3321.6%
VSK Aarhus win63%1.591.4465%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Marienlyst1.02

Home share of expected goals 34.7%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%

VSK Aarhus1.92

Away share of expected goals 65.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Marienlyst

1.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn1Losses0Points1

SignalHome unbeaten 1/1

Away-context · form sequence

VSK Aarhus

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
15%
Win probability excluding draw
63%
1
Points from supplied form
2
1.02
Expected goals
1.92
MarienlystVSK Aarhus
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Marienlyst signalHome unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02VSK Aarhus signalAway clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Marienlyst vs VSK Aarhus FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Marienlyst win 15%,Draw 22%,VSK Aarhus win 63%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over