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CZE Czech Cup · Fixture ·

FK Kozlovice vs MFK Karvina

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.31 expected goals
Away form
Home win6%
Draw13%
Away win81%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 81% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win81% selection probability
Projected score1–2FK KozloviceMFK Karvina
Expected goals3.31Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over66% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
6% / 13% / 81%Match resultAway win81%1.23
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Kozlovice win (6%)Double chanceX294%1.06
Over 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Over66%1.52
Yes 60% · No 40%Both teams scoreYes60%1.67
3.31 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Kozlovice win6%16.6719.004.9%
Draw13%7.698.0011.6%
MFK Karvina win81%1.231.1183.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Kozlovice0.93

Home share of expected goals 28.1%

Total expected goals3.31Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 66% · Under 34%

MFK Karvina2.38

Away share of expected goals 71.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 60% · No 40%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FK Kozlovice

2.00pts / match
Played2Wins1Drawn1Losses0Points4

SignalHome unbeaten 2/2

Away-context · form sequence

MFK Karvina

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
6%
Win probability excluding draw
81%
4
Points from supplied form
15
0.93
Expected goals
2.38
FK KozloviceMFK Karvina
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Kozlovice signalHome unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MFK Karvina signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk19% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 13%.

Match questions

FK Kozlovice vs MFK Karvina FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 81% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Kozlovice win 6%,Draw 13%,MFK Karvina win 81%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Over 2.5 66% · Current selection Over