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ARG Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Fixture ·

Club Leandro N. Alem vs Juventud Unida San Miguel

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
Away form
Home win28%
Draw31%
Away win41%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Club Leandro N. AlemJuventud Unida San Miguel
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
28% / 31% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Club Leandro N. Alem win (27.7%)Double chanceX272.3%1.38
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreNo50%2.00
2.43 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapClub Leandro N. Alem winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Leandro N. Alem win28%3.573.2527.5%+0.5 pp
Draw31%3.232.8831%0.0 pp
Juventud Unida San Miguel win41%2.442.1541.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Leandro N. Alem1.11

Home share of expected goals 45.7%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

Juventud Unida San Miguel1.32

Away share of expected goals 54.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Club Leandro N. Alem

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Juventud Unida San Miguel

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Win probability excluding draw
41%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.11
Expected goals
1.32
Club Leandro N. AlemJuventud Unida San Miguel
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Leandro N. Alem signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Juventud Unida San Miguel signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Club Leandro N. Alem vs Juventud Unida San Miguel FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Leandro N. Alem win 28%,Draw 31%,Juventud Unida San Miguel win 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under