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BRA Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 · Fixture ·

Gramadense vs APAFUT

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.22 expected goals
Away form
Home win47%
Draw29%
Away win24%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 47% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win47% selection probability
Projected score1–1GramadenseAPAFUT
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 29% / 24%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes APAFUT win (24.2%)Double chance1X75.8%1.32
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
2.22 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gramadense win47%2.131.9047.3%
Draw29%3.453.1029%
APAFUT win24%4.173.8023.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gramadense1.32

Home share of expected goals 59.5%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%

APAFUT0.90

Away share of expected goals 40.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Gramadense

0.50pts / match
Played4Wins0Drawn2Losses2Points2

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

APAFUT

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
2
Points from supplied form
5
1.32
Expected goals
0.90
GramadenseAPAFUT
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gramadense signalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02APAFUT signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Gramadense vs APAFUT FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gramadense win 47%,Draw 29%,APAFUT win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under