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SAU Saudi Arabia Division 1 · Fixture ·

Al Najma vs Al Jandal

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Away form
Home win51%
Draw25%
Away win23%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 51% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al NajmaAl Jandal
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
51% / 25% / 23%Match resultHome win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Jandal win (23.2%)Double chance1X76.8%1.30
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.90 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Najma win51%1.961.7052.3%
Draw25%4.003.5025.4%
Al Jandal win23%4.354.0022.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al Najma1.72

Home share of expected goals 59.3%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

Al Jandal1.18

Away share of expected goals 40.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Al Najma

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Al Jandal

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Win probability excluding draw
23%
5
Points from supplied form
3
1.72
Expected goals
1.18
Al NajmaAl Jandal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al Najma signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Jandal signalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Al Najma vs Al Jandal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al Najma win 51%,Draw 25%,Al Jandal win 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over