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EUR Europe Friendlies · Fixture ·

CF Lorca Deportiva vs At. Pulpileno

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.22 expected goals
Away form
Home win55%
Draw26%
Away win19%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 55% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win55% selection probability
Projected score2–1CF Lorca DeportivaAt. Pulpileno
Expected goals3.22Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners7.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 26% / 19%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes At. Pulpileno win (19%)Double chance1X81%1.23
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.22 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
7.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CF Lorca Deportiva win55%1.821.6055.8%
Draw26%3.853.4026.3%
At. Pulpileno win19%5.265.0017.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CF Lorca Deportiva1.97

Home share of expected goals 61.2%

Total expected goals3.22Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

At. Pulpileno1.25

Away share of expected goals 38.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

CF Lorca Deportiva

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

At. Pulpileno

1.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn1Losses0Points1

SignalHome failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Win probability excluding draw
19%
2
Points from supplied form
1
1.97
Expected goals
1.25
CF Lorca DeportivaAt. Pulpileno
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CF Lorca Deportiva signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02At. Pulpileno signalHome failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

CF Lorca Deportiva vs At. Pulpileno FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CF Lorca Deportiva win 55%,Draw 26%,At. Pulpileno win 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.22 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over