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Conquense vs Alcorcon

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.16 expected goals
Away form
Home win27%
Draw28%
Away win44%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win44% selection probability
Projected score1–2ConquenseAlcorcon
Expected goals3.16Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
27% / 28% / 44%Match resultAway win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Conquense win (27.2%)Double chanceX272.8%1.37
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 65% · No 35%Both teams scoreYes65%1.54
3.16 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
7.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Conquense win27%3.703.5025.5%
Draw28%3.573.1028.8%
Alcorcon win44%2.271.9545.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Conquense1.46

Home share of expected goals 46.2%

Total expected goals3.16Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

Alcorcon1.70

Away share of expected goals 53.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 65% · No 35%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Conquense

3.00pts / match
Played3Wins3Drawn0Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 3/3

Away-context · form sequence

Alcorcon

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Win probability excluding draw
44%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.46
Expected goals
1.70
ConquenseAlcorcon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Conquense signalHome unbeaten 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alcorcon signalHome clean sheets: 2/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Conquense vs Alcorcon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Conquense win 27%,Draw 28%,Alcorcon win 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.16 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over