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NOR Norway Cup · Fixture ·

Baerum vs Mjondalen

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.30 expected goals
Away form
Home win17%
Draw17%
Away win66%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 66% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win66% selection probability
Projected score1–2BaerumMjondalen
Expected goals3.30Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
17% / 17% / 66%Match resultAway win66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Baerum win (16.5%)Double chanceX283.5%1.20
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.30 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Baerum win17%5.886.0014.9%
Draw17%5.885.5016.3%
Mjondalen win66%1.521.3068.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Baerum1.19

Home share of expected goals 36.1%

Total expected goals3.30Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%

Mjondalen2.11

Away share of expected goals 63.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Baerum

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Mjondalen

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
17%
Win probability excluding draw
66%
2
Points from supplied form
7
1.19
Expected goals
2.11
BaerumMjondalen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Baerum signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mjondalen signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Baerum vs Mjondalen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Baerum win 17%,Draw 17%,Mjondalen win 66%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.30 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over