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INT Czechia 4. Liga · Fixture ·

FC Kurim vs AFC Humpolec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–14.04 expected goals
Away form
Home win63%
Draw20%
Away win17%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win63% selection probability
Projected score3–1FC KurimAFC Humpolec
Expected goals4.04Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over77% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
63% / 20% / 17%Match resultHome win63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AFC Humpolec win (17.1%)Double chance1X82.9%1.21
Over 77% · Under 23%Goals 2.5Over77%1.30
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
4.04 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
10.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapFC Kurim winDifference+1.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Kurim win63%1.591.4561.5%+1.5 pp
Draw20%5.004.3320.6%-0.6 pp
AFC Humpolec win17%5.885.0017.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Kurim2.98

Home share of expected goals 73.8%

Total expected goals4.04Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 77% · Under 23%

AFC Humpolec1.06

Away share of expected goals 26.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Kurim

2.20pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

AFC Humpolec

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Win probability excluding draw
17%
11
Points from supplied form
5
2.98
Expected goals
1.06
FC KurimAFC Humpolec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Kurim signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AFC Humpolec signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

FC Kurim vs AFC Humpolec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Kurim win 63%,Draw 20%,AFC Humpolec win 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.04 · Over 2.5 77% · Current selection Over