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JPN Japan FA Cup · Fixture ·

Nagano Parceiro vs Fukui United

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.67 expected goals
Away form
Home win64%
Draw20%
Away win16%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 64% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Nagano ParceiroFukui United
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes50% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0No corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
64% / 20% / 16%Match resultHome win64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Fukui United win (16.2%)Double chance1X83.8%1.19
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Over50%2.00
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreYes50%2.00
2.67 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
0.0 expected match cornersCornersNo corner projection
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nagano Parceiro win64%1.561.3666.1%
Draw20%5.004.7518.9%
Fukui United win16%6.256.0015%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nagano Parceiro1.77

Home share of expected goals 66.3%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

Fukui United0.90

Away share of expected goals 33.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Nagano Parceiro

0.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Away-context · form sequence

Fukui United

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Win probability excluding draw
16%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.77
Expected goals
0.90
Nagano ParceiroFukui United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nagano Parceiro signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fukui United signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Nagano Parceiro vs Fukui United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nagano Parceiro win 64%,Draw 20%,Fukui United win 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Over