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INT Uganda Super 8 · Fixture ·

KCCA vs NEC FC Bugolobi

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
Away form
Home win42%
Draw28%
Away win30%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win42% selection probability
Projected score1–1KCCANEC FC Bugolobi
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 28% / 30%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Double chance1272.5%1.38
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.43 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
KCCA win42%2.382.1042.6%
Draw28%3.573.2527.5%
NEC FC Bugolobi win30%3.333.0029.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KCCA1.32

Home share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

NEC FC Bugolobi1.11

Away share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

KCCA

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

NEC FC Bugolobi

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Win probability excluding draw
30%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.32
Expected goals
1.11
KCCANEC FC Bugolobi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KCCA signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02NEC FC Bugolobi signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

KCCA vs NEC FC Bugolobi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KCCA win 42%,Draw 28%,NEC FC Bugolobi win 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under