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ENG England Isthmian Division One North · Fixture ·

Newmarket Town vs Concord Rangers

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.70 expected goals
Away form
Home win44%
Draw26%
Away win31%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 44% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Newmarket TownConcord Rangers
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 26% / 31%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Double chance1274.5%1.34
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.70 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Newmarket Town win44%2.27
Draw26%3.85
Concord Rangers win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newmarket Town1.49

Home share of expected goals 55.2%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Concord Rangers1.21

Away share of expected goals 44.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Newmarket Town

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Concord Rangers

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.49
Expected goals
1.21
Newmarket TownConcord Rangers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newmarket Town signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Concord Rangers signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Newmarket Town vs Concord Rangers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newmarket Town win 44%,Draw 26%,Concord Rangers win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over