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DEU Germany DFB Pokal · Fixture ·

FC Viktoria Köln vs Nurnberg

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.86 expected goals
Away form
Home win22%
Draw24%
Away win54%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 54% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win54% selection probability
Projected score1–2FC Viktoria KölnNurnberg
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
22% / 24% / 54%Match resultAway win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Viktoria Köln win (22.2%)Double chanceX277.8%1.29
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.86 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Viktoria Köln win22%4.554.3321.6%
Draw24%4.174.0023.4%
Nurnberg win54%1.851.7055%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Viktoria Köln1.10

Home share of expected goals 38.5%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

Nurnberg1.76

Away share of expected goals 61.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Viktoria Köln

0.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalAway unbeaten 3/3

Away-context · form sequence

Nurnberg

2.33pts / match
Played3Wins2Drawn1Losses0Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Win probability excluding draw
54%
0
Points from supplied form
7
1.10
Expected goals
1.76
FC Viktoria KölnNurnberg
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Viktoria Köln signalAway unbeaten 3/3

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nurnberg signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

FC Viktoria Köln vs Nurnberg FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Viktoria Köln win 22%,Draw 24%,Nurnberg win 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over