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ITA Italy Serie C Cup · Fixture ·

US Latina Calcio vs AS Ostia Mare

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Away form
Home win44%
Draw29%
Away win27%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 44% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win44% selection probability
Projected score1–1US Latina CalcioAS Ostia Mare
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
44% / 29% / 27%Match resultHome win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes AS Ostia Mare win (27.3%)Double chance1X72.7%1.38
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
US Latina Calcio win44%2.272.0543.8%
Draw29%3.453.1029%
AS Ostia Mare win27%3.703.3027.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

US Latina Calcio1.46

Home share of expected goals 57.3%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

AS Ostia Mare1.09

Away share of expected goals 42.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

US Latina Calcio

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

AS Ostia Mare

0.00pts / match
Played2Wins0Drawn0Losses2Points0

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Win probability excluding draw
27%
10
Points from supplied form
0
1.46
Expected goals
1.09
US Latina CalcioAS Ostia Mare
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01US Latina Calcio signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AS Ostia Mare signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

US Latina Calcio vs AS Ostia Mare FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

US Latina Calcio win 44%,Draw 29%,AS Ostia Mare win 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under