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ITA Italy Serie C Cup · Fixture ·

Crotone vs Cosenza

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Away form
Home win41%
Draw28%
Away win31%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win41% selection probability
Projected score1–1CrotoneCosenza
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 28% / 31%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Double chance1272.2%1.39
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
2.55 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Crotone win41%2.442.2040.8%
Draw28%3.573.2028%
Cosenza win31%3.232.8831.2%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Crotone1.40

Home share of expected goals 54.9%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Cosenza1.15

Away share of expected goals 45.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Crotone

2.25pts / match
Played4Wins3Drawn0Losses1Points9

SignalHome won 3/4

Away-context · form sequence

Cosenza

0.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/4

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
0
1.40
Expected goals
1.15
CrotoneCosenza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Crotone signalHome won 3/4

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cosenza signalHome clean sheets: 2/4

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Crotone vs Cosenza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Crotone win 41%,Draw 28%,Cosenza win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under