MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
INT Peru Liga 2 · Final ·

CD Estudiantil CNI vs Comerciantes FC

Prediction review

Home form
Final score2–2Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win35%
Draw31%
Away win34%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 35% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win35% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD Estudiantil CNIComerciantes FC
Expected goals1.50Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under81% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo74% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
35% / 31% / 34%Match resultHome win35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.6%)Double chance1269.4%1.44
Over 19% · Under 81%Goals 2.5Under81%1.23
Yes 26% · No 74%Both teams scoreNo74%1.35
1.50 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapCD Estudiantil CNI winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Estudiantil CNI win35%2.862.4536.7%-1.7 pp
Draw31%3.233.0030%+1.0 pp
Comerciantes FC win34%2.942.7033.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Estudiantil CNI0.55

Home share of expected goals 36.7%

Total expected goals1.50Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 19% · Under 81%

Comerciantes FC0.95

Away share of expected goals 63.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 26% · No 74%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

CD Estudiantil CNI

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Comerciantes FC

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
3
Points from supplied form
6
0.55
Expected goals
0.95
CD Estudiantil CNIComerciantes FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Estudiantil CNI signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Comerciantes FC signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

CD Estudiantil CNI vs Comerciantes FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Estudiantil CNI win 35%,Draw 31%,Comerciantes FC win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.50 · Over 2.5 19% · Current selection Under