Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 22% / 24%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.9%)Double chance1278.1%1.28
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.22 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
7.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Lugano (W) win54%1.85
Draw22%4.55
FFV Basel (W) win24%4.17
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 60.9%
Total expected goals3.22Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%
Away share of expected goals 39.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
3.00pts / matchLugano (W)
WWWWW
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchFFV Basel (W)
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
54%
Win probability excluding draw
24%15
Points from supplied form
01.96
Expected goals
1.26Lugano (W)FFV Basel (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.
Match questions
Lugano (W) vs FFV Basel (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Lugano (W) win 54%，Draw 22%，FFV Basel (W) win 24%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.22 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over。