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ESP Spain La Liga · Fixture ·

Valencia vs Real Betis

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.56 expected goals
Away form
Home win34%
Draw29%
Away win37%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win37% selection probability
Projected score1–1ValenciaReal Betis
Expected goals2.56Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 29% / 37%Match resultAway win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Double chance1271.3%1.40
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.56 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.2%Largest probability gapReal Betis winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Valencia win34%2.942.8033.9%+0.1 pp
Draw29%3.453.3028.8%+0.2 pp
Real Betis win37%2.702.5537.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Valencia1.29

Home share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals2.56Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Real Betis1.27

Away share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Valencia

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Real Betis

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalAway won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Win probability excluding draw
37%
5
Points from supplied form
9
1.29
Expected goals
1.27
ValenciaReal Betis
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Valencia signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Betis signalAway won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Valencia vs Real Betis FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Valencia win 34%,Draw 29%,Real Betis win 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.56 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under