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SVK Slovakia 2. Liga · Fixture ·

FC Petrzalka vs Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Away form
Home win54%
Draw25%
Away win21%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win54% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC PetrzalkaTatran Liptovsky Mikulas
Expected goals3.08Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 25% / 21%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas win (21.1%)Double chance1X78.9%1.27
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
3.08 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
11.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FC Petrzalka win54%1.85
Draw25%4.00
Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Petrzalka2.11

Home share of expected goals 68.5%

Total expected goals3.08Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas0.97

Away share of expected goals 31.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Petrzalka

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
15
Points from supplied form
8
2.11
Expected goals
0.97
FC PetrzalkaTatran Liptovsky Mikulas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Petrzalka signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Petrzalka vs Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Petrzalka win 54%,Draw 25%,Tatran Liptovsky Mikulas win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over