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SCO Scotland Premiership · Fixture ·

Falkirk vs Rangers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.29 expected goals
Away form
Home win28%
Draw26%
Away win46%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win46% selection probability
Projected score1–2FalkirkRangers
Expected goals3.29Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
28% / 26% / 46%Match resultAway win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Double chance1274.1%1.35
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.29 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Falkirk win28%3.57
Draw26%3.85
Rangers win46%2.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Falkirk1.31

Home share of expected goals 39.8%

Total expected goals3.29Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

Rangers1.98

Away share of expected goals 60.2%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Falkirk

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Rangers

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Win probability excluding draw
46%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.31
Expected goals
1.98
FalkirkRangers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Falkirk signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rangers signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Falkirk vs Rangers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Falkirk win 28%,Draw 26%,Rangers win 46%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.29 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over