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POL Poland III Liga · Fixture ·

Zaglebie Lubin II vs Rakow Czestochowa II

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.23 expected goals
Away form
Home win54%
Draw23%
Away win24%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 54% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Zaglebie Lubin IIRakow Czestochowa II
Expected goals3.23Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over63% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 23% / 24%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.6%)Double chance1277.4%1.29
Over 63% · Under 37%Goals 2.5Over63%1.59
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.23 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
11.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Zaglebie Lubin II win54%1.851.6554.5%
Draw23%4.354.0022.5%
Rakow Czestochowa II win24%4.173.9023%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Zaglebie Lubin II1.92

Home share of expected goals 59.4%

Total expected goals3.23Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 63% · Under 37%

Rakow Czestochowa II1.31

Away share of expected goals 40.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Zaglebie Lubin II

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Rakow Czestochowa II

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.92
Expected goals
1.31
Zaglebie Lubin IIRakow Czestochowa II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Zaglebie Lubin II signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rakow Czestochowa II signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Zaglebie Lubin II vs Rakow Czestochowa II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Zaglebie Lubin II win 54%,Draw 23%,Rakow Czestochowa II win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.23 · Over 2.5 63% · Current selection Over