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Atletico Baleares vs Platges de Calvia

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.35 expected goals
Away form
Home win76%
Draw16%
Away win7%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 76% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win76% selection probability
Projected score2–1Atletico BalearesPlatges de Calvia
Expected goals3.35Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over66% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
76% / 16% / 7%Match resultHome win76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Platges de Calvia win (7.4%)Double chance1X92.6%1.08
Over 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Over66%1.52
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.35 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin8.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Atletico Baleares win76%1.321.1778.6%
Draw16%6.256.0015.3%
Platges de Calvia win7%14.2915.006.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Atletico Baleares2.34

Home share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals3.35Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 66% · Under 34%

Platges de Calvia1.01

Away share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Atletico Baleares

1.50pts / match
Played2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Points3

SignalNo recent signal

Away-context · form sequence

Platges de Calvia

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
76%
Win probability excluding draw
7%
3
Points from supplied form
0
2.34
Expected goals
1.01
Atletico BalearesPlatges de Calvia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Atletico Baleares signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Platges de Calvia signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Atletico Baleares vs Platges de Calvia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Atletico Baleares win 76%,Draw 16%,Platges de Calvia win 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.35 · Over 2.5 66% · Current selection Over