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INT Leagues Cup · Fixture ·

Philadelphia vs Necaxa

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.68 expected goals
Away form
Home win54%
Draw22%
Away win24%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 54% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win54% selection probability
Projected score2–1PhiladelphiaNecaxa
Expected goals2.68Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 22% / 24%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.3%)Double chance1277.7%1.29
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Over50%2.00
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.68 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin8.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Philadelphia win54%1.851.7054.3%
Draw22%4.554.2022%
Necaxa win24%4.173.9023.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Philadelphia1.67

Home share of expected goals 62.3%

Total expected goals2.68Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

Necaxa1.01

Away share of expected goals 37.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Philadelphia

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Necaxa

0.00pts / match
Played2Wins0Drawn0Losses2Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
9
Points from supplied form
0
1.67
Expected goals
1.01
PhiladelphiaNecaxa
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Philadelphia signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Necaxa signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Philadelphia vs Necaxa FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Philadelphia win 54%,Draw 22%,Necaxa win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.68 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Over