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POL Poland IV Liga · Fixture ·

Polonia Warsaw II vs Nadnarwianka Pultusk

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.59 expected goals
Away form
Home win64%
Draw20%
Away win16%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 64% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia Warsaw IINadnarwianka Pultusk
Expected goals3.59Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over70% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
64% / 20% / 16%Match resultHome win64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nadnarwianka Pultusk win (16.1%)Double chance1X83.9%1.19
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Yes 68% · No 32%Both teams scoreYes68%1.47
3.59 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Warsaw II win64%1.561.3665.4%
Draw20%5.004.5019.8%
Nadnarwianka Pultusk win16%6.256.0014.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Warsaw II2.29

Home share of expected goals 63.8%

Total expected goals3.59Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%

Nadnarwianka Pultusk1.30

Away share of expected goals 36.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 68% · No 32%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Polonia Warsaw II

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Away-context · form sequence

Nadnarwianka Pultusk

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Win probability excluding draw
16%
0
Points from supplied form
0
2.29
Expected goals
1.30
Polonia Warsaw IINadnarwianka Pultusk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Warsaw II signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nadnarwianka Pultusk signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Polonia Warsaw II vs Nadnarwianka Pultusk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Warsaw II win 64%,Draw 20%,Nadnarwianka Pultusk win 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over